Most Asian markets were mixed yesterday after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates again and data showed the US economy remained “resilient”, though gains were tempered by the bank’s indication it is unlikely to make any more reductions.
The dollar struggled to recover from the widely expected move, with the broadly upbeat mood providing support to higher-yielding, riskier currencies, while the pound was also helped by receding Brexit worries.
After announcing the third cut this year, Fed chief Jerome Powell said that while the US-China trade row and Brexit uncertainty had hit investment, the economy had been “resilient to the winds that have been blowing this year”.
His comments came after data showed growth dipped marginally in the third quarter to 1.9% but was much better than the 1.6% forecast.
A reading on private-sector jobs also showed a better-than-expected rise.
Powell said: “We took this step to help keep the US economy strong in the face of global developments and to provide some insurance against ongoing risks.”
The bank’s statement indicated policy board members would not unveil another cut next month, and Powell added that it would only do so “if developments emerge that cause a material reassessment of our outlook”.
Investors cheered the news, with the S&P 500 on Wall Street rallying to its second record close in three days, while the Dow and Nasdaq also rose as investors are also buoyed by progress in the China-US trade talks and strong earnings.
“We believe progress on US-China trade negotiation, expectations of a bottoming out of global (factory activity data) and a respectable third-quarter earnings growth report card are all supporting market sentiment,” said Tai Hui, Asia chief market strategist at JP Morgan Asset Management.
“When market risk appetite is positive, the Fed pausing can also be seen as an endorsement that the economy is still in good shape and no additional stimulus is needed.” Asian investors struggled to ride the coat-tails of their US counterparts.
Hong Kong rallied 0.9% to 26,906.72 but traders there were nervously awaiting the release of economic growth data that is expected to show the city fell into recession as a result of months of sometimes violent protests that have hammered the retail and tourist sectors.
Tokyo finished 0.4% higher at 22,927.04 with little reaction to the Bank of Japan keeping monetary policy unchanged but hinting at possible future rate cuts.
Singapore was up 0.7%, while Mumbai and Bangkok were also on the rise.
Seoul added 0.2%, but market heavyweight Samsung was flat after it reported third-quarter net profit had more than halved.
Shanghai ended down 0.4% at 2,929.06 after figures pointed to another contraction of China’s crucial manufacturing industry owing to the US trade war.
There were also losses in Sydney, Wellington and Jakarta.
Attention is now on Friday’s US government employment report, which will give another snapshot of the world’s top economy, while dealers are also waiting for developments in the trade talks.
JP Morgan’s Hui said that Chile’s decision to cancel next month’s Apec summit – where Donald Trump and Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping were due to sign a mini agreement – should not be “a deal breaker”.
“If the two sides were genuinely willing to reach an interim deal before mid-December, when the next scheduled hike in tariff on Chinese exports is due to take place, they will find a venue to get the deal done.”
China said yesterday top negotiators from both sides were due to hold phone talks today.
from Gulf Times https://ift.tt/2JEIaQJ
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